IEM Daily Feature
Wednesday, 16 March 2011

Instability returns

Posted: 16 Mar 2011 05:57 AM

The featured chart presents the highest forecasted surface based convective available potential energy (CAPE) from the GFS model for a grid point near Ames since the first of the year. This variable gives an indication to the degree of instability in the atmosphere that helps to facilitate thunderstorms. Values above 1,000 typically are when the stronger storms are possible. While values shown are well below 1,000 for surface based air parcels, CAPE computed for elevated parcels is expected to be larger and will allow for some hail producing storms in the coming week.

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Tags:   cape